FPL · GW9 brief

Every player's next gameweek, in points.

Predicted points from each player's match record, checked against the world's top 50 managers. DEFCON detail included.

Updated GW 8 · 21:21

THE BUYBUY
Tavernier
Tavernier
BOUBOU · MID · £6.2m
5.8

Predicted 5.8 pts next GW, form 6.2. Even run next.

THE DIFFERENTIAL6% of top 50
Davis
Davis
IPSIPS · DEF · £4.0m
5.2

Predicted 5.2 pts, owned by 6% of the top 50 and 7.4% overall.

THE TRAPHOLD
De Cuyper
De Cuyper
BHABHA · DEF · £5.3m
4.2

Owned by 94% of the top 50, but 2 of the next 5 are rated 4 or worse. Wait.

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How we compute this

Predicted points turn each player's own goals, assists, clean sheets, saves, bonus and defensive contribution into per-90 rates, shrink them toward league rates, and scale them by next-fixture difficulty and expected minutes. Top-50 own is how many of the world's 50 best managers hold the player right now. The DEFCON column keeps the defensive slice visible: hit probability times 2, from the last 5 matches (60%) blended with the season (40%).

Full methodology