FPL · GW9 brief

Every player's next gameweek, in points.

Predicted points from each player's match record, checked against the world's top 50 managers. DEFCON detail included.

Updated GW 8 · 20:46

THE BUYBUY
Tavernier
Tavernier
BOUBOU · MID · £6.3m
6.1

Predicted 6.1 pts next GW, form 6.2. Even run next.

THE DIFFERENTIAL0% of top 50
Belloumi
Belloumi
HULHUL · MID · £5.2m
5.6

Predicted 5.6 pts, owned by 0% of the top 50 and 9.4% overall.

THE TRAPHOLD
Hall
Hall
NEWNEW · DEF · £5.3m
4.8

Owned by 44% of the top 50, but 3 of the next 5 are rated 4 or worse. Wait.

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How we compute this

Predicted points turn each player's own goals, assists, clean sheets, saves, bonus and defensive contribution into per-90 rates, shrink them toward league rates, and scale them by next-fixture difficulty and expected minutes. Top-50 own is how many of the world's 50 best managers hold the player right now. The DEFCON column keeps the defensive slice visible: hit probability times 2, from the last 5 matches (60%) blended with the season (40%).

Full methodology