FPL · GW7 brief

Every player's next gameweek, in points.

Predicted points from each player's match record, checked against the world's top 50 managers. DEFCON detail included.

Updated GW 6 · 15:14

THE BUYBUY
João Pedro
João Pedro
CHECHE · FWD · £7.8m
7.2

Predicted 7.2 pts next GW, form 9.0. Even run next.

THE DIFFERENTIAL4% of top 50
Tavernier
Tavernier
BOUBOU · MID · £6.1m
5.4

Predicted 5.4 pts, owned by 4% of the top 50 and 7.3% overall.

THE TRAPHOLD
Tarkowski
Tarkowski
EVEEVE · DEF · £6.2m
4.9

Owned by 32% of the top 50, but 2 of the next 5 are rated 4 or worse. Wait.

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How we compute this

Predicted points turn each player's own goals, assists, clean sheets, saves, bonus and defensive contribution into per-90 rates, shrink them toward league rates, and scale them by next-fixture difficulty and expected minutes. Top-50 own is how many of the world's 50 best managers hold the player right now. The DEFCON column keeps the defensive slice visible: hit probability times 2, from the last 5 matches (60%) blended with the season (40%).

Full methodology